Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.066649 0.079170 0.093227 0.110153 0.129956 0.152368 0.179633
2025-03-16 0.046372 0.062079 0.081746 0.108075 0.142288 0.185118 0.242667
2025-03-23 0.036389 0.053505 0.076837 0.110735 0.158453 0.222915 0.316215
2025-03-30 0.028815 0.045871 0.070844 0.109692 0.168125 0.252149 0.381363
2025-04-06 0.023080 0.039421 0.064907 0.106997 0.174061 0.275841 0.440715
2025-04-13 0.018628 0.033935 0.059219 0.103299 0.177268 0.295068 0.494921
2025-04-20 0.016189 0.031244 0.057422 0.105309 0.189421 0.329163 0.576013
2025-04-27 0.014044 0.028620 0.055214 0.106096 0.199345 0.360442 0.655787
2025-05-04 0.012252 0.026290 0.053093 0.106581 0.208574 0.391299 0.738036
2025-05-11 0.010887 0.024524 0.051697 0.108106 0.219719 0.426534 0.831672
2025-05-18 0.009965 0.023490 0.051533 0.111918 0.235544 0.471833 0.948412
2025-05-25 0.008489 0.020979 0.047965 0.108307 0.236249 0.488670 1.013161
2025-06-01 0.007502 0.019414 0.046197 0.108314 0.244539 0.521601 1.113907
2025-06-08 0.006528 0.017691 0.043813 0.106640 0.249111 0.547722 1.204245
2025-06-15 0.005979 0.016903 0.043421 0.109348 0.263463 0.595389 1.343854
2025-06-22 0.005278 0.015585 0.041555 0.108335 0.269330 0.625738 1.450158
2025-06-29 0.004588 0.014150 0.039162 0.105675 0.271003 0.647091 1.539178
2025-07-06 0.003949 0.012722 0.036539 0.102021 0.269784 0.661775 1.614844
2025-07-13 0.003636 0.012178 0.036144 0.104007 0.282562 0.709702 1.770950
2025-07-20 0.003310 0.011523 0.035339 0.104785 0.292398 0.751772 1.917750
2025-07-27 0.003009 0.010884 0.034473 0.105265 0.301516 0.793071 2.066928
2025-08-03 0.002773 0.010409 0.034000 0.106773 0.313541 0.842720 2.241354
2025-08-10 0.002626 0.010203 0.034296 0.110540 0.332158 0.910737 2.467926